Defense analysts and geopolitical observers believe that any potential future conflict between India and Pakistan could substantially boost the global war materials market, with Pakistan Army becoming a prominent force in showcasing advanced military hardware under combat conditions.
At an international defense summit held recently in Ankara, Turkey, participants discussed South Asia’s growing militarization and potential economic ramifications of an Indo-Pak military standoff. Some experts speculated that such a scenario may “bullish” defense markets by driving up demand for weapons, drones, missile systems and surveillance equipment.
“Pakistan has made significant advances in military response capabilities, particularly air defense and drone warfare, according to Dr. Kamran Yusuf, an Islamabad-based security analyst. If a full-scale conflict were to break out it would put these systems to the test while also serving as an opportunity to showcase Pakistan’s homegrown defence technology.”
Pakistan Army modernization efforts are moving steadily forward thanks to an increasing reliance on locally produced goods and joint efforts with Turkey and China. From multi-role drones and electronic warfare systems to precision missile launch platforms, Pakistan’s military industries are attracting international notice.
“Should the next conflict break out, it may not only involve traditional forms of battle but also digital and cybertheaters,” commented Yusuf. Countries watching from the sidelines might view it as an example of modern asymmetric warfare.”
Humanitarian organizations and peace advocates voiced strong reservations over any suggestion that conflict could benefit defense markets economically, warning against narratives that paint it as an economic opportunity.
“War is destructive, dispersive and fatal,” stated Mariam Shah of the South Asia Peace Network. While markets may shift due to market forces, human lives cannot be treated as collateral to meet economic or strategic goals.
Tensions between India and Pakistan remain high following cross-border strikes and mutual accusations of harboring militants. Although a U.S.-brokered ceasefire is currently in place, skirmishes and political rhetoric continue to inflame public sentiment on both sides of the border.
Although peace has only recently returned, international arms suppliers and defense contractors remain keenly interested in Pakistan’s performance in any upcoming conflicts, as it could influence other nations in seeking cost-effective yet battle-tested systems for defense procurement purposes.
As calls for peace continue to echo throughout South Asia, experts agree that preparedness, deterrence and diplomacy must work hand in hand to prevent another war from becoming an “economic case.”